Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.492148 16.557662 18.756899 21.266673 24.045160 27.020602 30.441435
2025-10-26 11.194404 13.911142 16.998818 20.744602 25.141233 30.113000 36.133870
2025-11-02 9.199507 12.206809 15.800678 20.365387 25.958240 32.534928 40.796228
2025-11-09 7.733705 10.869025 14.782445 19.950839 26.514357 34.484244 44.796373
2025-11-16 6.616912 9.801922 13.937091 19.591488 27.001358 36.252154 48.528032
2025-11-23 5.633142 8.778797 13.019309 19.010230 27.092936 37.443209 51.495881
2025-11-30 5.050126 8.233191 12.668542 19.114943 28.031884 39.698885 55.846488
2025-12-07 4.543341 7.735031 12.324888 19.176174 28.875636 41.820570 60.053919
2025-12-14 4.144912 7.351419 12.100755 19.367193 29.875226 44.153732 64.585560
2025-12-21 3.754544 6.935978 11.787611 19.391578 30.615839 46.132755 68.672952
2025-12-28 3.525304 6.752287 11.801386 19.882730 32.025023 49.060813 74.126045
2026-01-04 3.283196 6.520787 11.717653 20.209440 33.191470 51.668403 79.191820
2026-01-11 3.008723 6.210780 11.491268 20.308446 34.032302 53.855455 83.759811
2026-01-18 2.645586 5.705377 10.906728 19.803260 33.927474 54.660822 86.370888
2026-01-25 2.350398 5.289457 10.434122 19.438175 34.003262 55.710118 89.337293
2026-02-01 2.083131 4.894811 9.963457 19.039182 33.993268 56.612182 92.091192
2026-02-08 1.853841 4.546867 9.544245 18.693363 34.038889 57.581430 94.949829
2026-02-15 1.619959 4.160485 9.022400 18.134086 33.703021 57.941802 96.888254
2026-02-22 1.497201 3.992264 8.887518 18.234830 34.443141 59.971184 101.383989
2026-03-01 1.380430 3.823025 8.736301 18.293742 35.108470 61.893735 105.753976
2026-03-08 1.288164 3.697596 8.658828 18.477536 35.984805 64.165378 110.706503
2026-03-15 1.186477 3.537896 8.500575 18.500999 36.582041 66.001241 115.017241
2026-03-22 1.138170 3.499609 8.582734 18.973635 37.967928 69.135372 121.422630